Jacob Heilbrunn

Sarah Palin, Powerbroker

"Keeping fingers crossed, powder dry, prayers upward." You bet she is. Sarah Palin has a lot riding on the Senatorial primary in Alaska, where her little protege Joe Miller, a nonentity until she endorsed him (and the Tea Party poured in big bucks), may defeat Lisa Murkowski in what would be a big upset. It's could be an epic saga. The House of Palin versus the House of Murkowski. 

Palin is calling it a potential "miracle on ice." But nothing has been more miraculous than Palin's own saga, from beauty queen to queen bee of the GOP. For Palin these contests are the run-up to her own presidential bid.  The Los Angeles Times notes that the results of the Alaska election won't be known for awhile: "the final result may hinge on thousands of absentee ballots that won't be counted until next week at the earliest. According to the Anchorage Daily News, the state elections division had received 16,000 requests for absentee ballots, 7,600 of which had been returned by Monday night."

If Palin's man wins, she will have solidified her standing in the GOP. She herself remains the most volatile, unpredictable, and potentially successful candidate in the GOP. President Obama would do well to watch Alaska closely, not so much as a clue to global warming as to whether his own political fortunes face a threat from the emerging House of Palin.