The Buzz

The U.S. Air Force Wants a New Helicopter (but it Might Need Two)

As Phillip Swarts reported for Air Force Times, on 9 September the US Air Force posted its request for information (RFI) for replacing several squadrons of UH-1N Hueys. As Jim McAleese related from the Air Force Association (AFA) meeting, on 20 September Darlene Costello, the USAF’s acting head of procurement, told the assembled that she expected the request for proposals (RFP) to be released in November. For a purchase as significant as a fleet of aircraft, two months is a remarkably short interlude between RFI and RFP. At Minot Air Force Base this week, Defense Secretary Carter told the missile wing that he was working to get them new security helicopters quickly. Frankly, as General Robin Rand of Global Strike Command told the AFA, the service would like get them built before it needs to start paying real money for B-21 bombers. All this strongly suggests that the Air Force has something very specific in mind. Whether that specific thing is the right idea, and whether it was conveyed at the right time to industry, are two further questions.

The Pentagon’s 2015 budget had anticipated buying 72 aircraft for about $980 million, at $13.6 million each. The Air Force anticipates choosing a type in 2018, and taking deliveries between 2019 add 2021. The aircraft are intended to replace two fleets of Hueys: those that ferry guards amongst the 20th Air Force’s ballistic missile silos across Wyoming, Montana, and North Dakota; and those that transport Important People in and around Washington DC. And as Thomas Gibbons-Neft wrote for the Washington Post in April, “there’s a big fight over how to replace it.”

Earlier in this process, the USAF had sought to buy UH-60M Blackhawks from Sikorsky (Lockheed Martin) through that company's ongoing contract with the US Army. The service cited the Economy Act of 1932 as its statutory authority for this uncommon approach. That law, as amended and encoded at 31 USC 1535, permits one federal agency to buy goods through another’s contract, without a fresh program and without competition, if

1. amounts are available;

2. the head of the ordering agency or unit decides the order is in the best interest of the U.S. Government;

3. the agency or unit to fill the order is able to provide or get by contract the ordered goods or services; and

4. the head of the agency decides ordered goods or services cannot be provided by contract as conveniently or cheaply by a commercial enterprise.

In effect, the Air Force had decided that (1) it had the money, (2) the deal was good, (3) the Army could get the aircraft for it, and (4) Army-bought Blackhawks were the most convenient approach. It certainly wasn’t the low-cost approach: the Army’s average price on UH-60Ms is about $19 million—more than the Air Force had recently budgeted, and probably more than Airbus, Bell, Leonardo (Agusta-Westland), or MD Helicopters would bid with smaller aircraft. The proximate problem was that the service was overruled by someone in the Office of the Secretary of All Defense. My essay on this subject back in June argued that the centralizing bureaucrats in OSD really should trust the Air Force to decide on its own whether it needs certain helicopters sooner, even if they would be more expensive.

But there is a second question in the UH-1N replacement decision that the Air Force isn’t addressing: whether this is really one helicopter. That is, would the USAF’s needs be better served by two fleets of different helicopters, even if replacement takes longer? For even though both roles are currently undertaken by Hueys today, they might not be best filled by the same type of helicopter in the future. Flying out of Andrews Air Force Base may mean taking lots of people somewhere in an emergency, so seating capacity could be important. This need might point to the more expensive Black Hawks—even when bought under the “Economy” Act. Flying around three missile fields on the Great Plains is for keeping saboteurs and lunatics away from nuclear warheads, so speed may actually be more important than troop numbers.

And for a third question, did the Air Force earlier lead industry along, with a promise to eventually replace those two fleets in an open competition? To a considerable extent, Leonardo's AW139 was designed specifically to replace Hueys with an aircraft that cruises at 165 knots. For a conventional helicopter, that’s fast. Clearly no helicopter company designs a new machine solely for a projected purchase of 72 units, but that number, factored with a probability of success, was probably a line item in the decision model. If the company invested the big money that’s often required for a serious military bid on speculation, well, that was a business decision. Hopefully it wasn’t made after questionable representations.

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