Blogs: The Skeptics

The Battle of Chosin Reservoir: How China Saved North Korea from Extinction

There Will Not Be a War with North Korea in 2018 (Unless America Starts One)

The Skeptics

Perhaps this is so, because the costs of a more openly revisionist course are lower for the United States. America is, of course, a curious half-in, half-out regional player. Around half a million Americans reside in the region, as well as U.S. business and military investments. The United States, however, remains geographically and culturally distant. Or perhaps it is simply the Trump’s much discussed psychology. The president clearly enjoys boasting and bluster, and his traditionalist-nationalist political base, which he grooms so relentless, revels in his machismo.

Whatever the reason, there is no obvious structural cause for a new Korean War in 2018. Deterrence has held for decades. It should continue to hold in this new nuclear environment, as all players, including North Korea, are signaling no serious willingness to risk war to restructure the regional order. If the United States were to do so nevertheless, it would be a war of our choice.

Robert Kelly is an associate professor of international relations in the Department of Political Science at Pusan National University. More of his writing can be found at his website. He tweets at @Robert_E_Kelly.

Image: Reuters

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The Cotton Doctrine: More Wars, Less Security

The Skeptics

Perhaps this is so, because the costs of a more openly revisionist course are lower for the United States. America is, of course, a curious half-in, half-out regional player. Around half a million Americans reside in the region, as well as U.S. business and military investments. The United States, however, remains geographically and culturally distant. Or perhaps it is simply the Trump’s much discussed psychology. The president clearly enjoys boasting and bluster, and his traditionalist-nationalist political base, which he grooms so relentless, revels in his machismo.

Whatever the reason, there is no obvious structural cause for a new Korean War in 2018. Deterrence has held for decades. It should continue to hold in this new nuclear environment, as all players, including North Korea, are signaling no serious willingness to risk war to restructure the regional order. If the United States were to do so nevertheless, it would be a war of our choice.

Robert Kelly is an associate professor of international relations in the Department of Political Science at Pusan National University. More of his writing can be found at his website. He tweets at @Robert_E_Kelly.

Image: Reuters

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Why North Korea's Air Force is Total Junk 

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The Real North Korea Disaster Isn't War (But Collapse)

The Skeptics

Perhaps this is so, because the costs of a more openly revisionist course are lower for the United States. America is, of course, a curious half-in, half-out regional player. Around half a million Americans reside in the region, as well as U.S. business and military investments. The United States, however, remains geographically and culturally distant. Or perhaps it is simply the Trump’s much discussed psychology. The president clearly enjoys boasting and bluster, and his traditionalist-nationalist political base, which he grooms so relentless, revels in his machismo.

Whatever the reason, there is no obvious structural cause for a new Korean War in 2018. Deterrence has held for decades. It should continue to hold in this new nuclear environment, as all players, including North Korea, are signaling no serious willingness to risk war to restructure the regional order. If the United States were to do so nevertheless, it would be a war of our choice.

Robert Kelly is an associate professor of international relations in the Department of Political Science at Pusan National University. More of his writing can be found at his website. He tweets at @Robert_E_Kelly.

Image: Reuters

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Why North Korea's Air Force is Total Junk 

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Pages

How to Guarantee a War with North Korea

The Skeptics

Perhaps this is so, because the costs of a more openly revisionist course are lower for the United States. America is, of course, a curious half-in, half-out regional player. Around half a million Americans reside in the region, as well as U.S. business and military investments. The United States, however, remains geographically and culturally distant. Or perhaps it is simply the Trump’s much discussed psychology. The president clearly enjoys boasting and bluster, and his traditionalist-nationalist political base, which he grooms so relentless, revels in his machismo.

Whatever the reason, there is no obvious structural cause for a new Korean War in 2018. Deterrence has held for decades. It should continue to hold in this new nuclear environment, as all players, including North Korea, are signaling no serious willingness to risk war to restructure the regional order. If the United States were to do so nevertheless, it would be a war of our choice.

Robert Kelly is an associate professor of international relations in the Department of Political Science at Pusan National University. More of his writing can be found at his website. He tweets at @Robert_E_Kelly.

Image: Reuters

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Why North Korea's Air Force is Total Junk 

Why Doesn't America Kill Kim Jong Un? 

The F-22 Is Getting a New Job: Sniper

Pages

Pages