Heirs Apparent

September 1, 1991 Topics: Security Regions: Americas Tags: Soft Power

Heirs Apparent

Mini Teaser: Bob Woodward, The Commanders (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1991).

by Author(s): Robert D. Novak

Bob Woodward, The Commanders (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1991).  398 pp., $24.95.

Since his book-writing debut with All The President's Men seventeen years ago, Bob Woodward's technique has become increasingly novelistic.  This newest peep behind Washington scenes, at the way the Pentagon led the nation to war in Panama and the Persian Gulf, is especially smooth and seamless.

It reads a little like a Tom Clancy novel, the reader pulled irresistibly from one page to another in accelerating haste to find what happens next.  The visit to Saudi Arabia by Defense Secretary Cheney, General Colin Powell, and General Norman Schwarzkopf, during which they obtain the consent by King Fahd to send troops, is presented with such skill that, even though the reader knows the outcome, a strong element of suspense is retained.

Going through The Commanders the first time is highly pleasurable, easy reading, which explains why it reached the top of the bestseller list and stayed there.  To re-read it for purposes of a review, however, underlines how much Woodward has sacrificed to achieve his novelistic effect.

There are no source notes, little direct attribution, and indeed no way to measure reliability.  Woodward's technique admits of no knowledge gaps, which a historian looking at this subject a generation from now would surely confess and a journalist toiling during the war under deadline pressure takes as a matter of course.  Rather, Woodward affects the posture of the old-fashioned omniscient novelist, able to read the minds of all his characters, as in the first paragraph of the prologue when Admiral William L. Crowe is depicted hurrying down the Pentagon's E-Ring.  "It was a building dedicated to appearing busy, he thought"--a formulation that becomes all too familiar over nearly 400 pages.

Woodward resembles a more modern novelist in not attempting to analyze his quote-filled narrative.   While this Washington Post editor and reporter is reviled by the Republican Right as the ideological enemy, he in fact abjures even the most minimal analytical explanation that his material often demands.  Thus, the reader is presented a narrative whose validity he must accept on faith and is then told to make of it what he can.

No Woodward book is published without complaints of gross inaccuracies.  Although cries of White House aides that The Commanders is another pack of lies can be dismissed, more serious complaints come from officials who privately admit they were interviewed for the book.  They say they were surprised by Woodward's casual note-taking, without a tape recorder, which they claim resulted in slightly flawed accounts.

Woodward's desire for a smooth narrative produces shorthand asides that can cause misunderstandings.  Early in the book, Admiral Crowe, Powell's predecessor as chairman of the Joint Chiefs, is described as setting up a "secret, private communications channel" with his Soviet counterpart, Marshal Sergei Akhromeyev.  Antennae all over Washington twanged with the implication of an improper, illegal back channel instituted by Crowe.  But it turned out that Woodward simply had overstated what was just a normal communications link.

Nevertheless, nobody in a position to know claims serious outright errors in this book (just as Woodward's past endeavors were free from such indictments).   While The Commanders is novelistic, it certainly is not fiction.   While unsourced and unanalyzed, it must be taken seriously enough to attempt to extract from it new information on how the U.S. decided to wage war on Iraq and on the broader question of how the Pentagon really functions.  The collateral and most intriguing yield from the book is its impact on the future of its most important figures, General Powell and Secretary Cheney.

Woodward's revelation, headlined on front pages across the country, that Powell was not anxious to move from sanctions to war in the Gulf was really no great surprise.  But the general's views had not been widely reported, and the extent of dissent was not fully appreciated.

As recorded by Woodward, the uniformed military was in thrall to the Vietnam Syndrome, cautious about using the nation's fearsome war-making apparatus.  General Thomas Kelly, who was to become a household name and face as the super-confident war briefer, is described as telling the Pentagon's civilian press spokesman, Pete Williams, before the fighting started: "We hope you political types aren't dreaming."  He predicted that tank warfare with the Iraqis would be a "big nasty thing", concluding: "We can't have a land war."

Powell reflects much the same mindset, as an Army man supremely suspicious of air capability to soften up Saddam Hussein's troops.  He comes out better able to envision the carnage of war than the desk-bound national security adviser in the White House, retired Air Force General Brent Scowcroft.  Powell, unlike Scowcroft, sees war as "less a disembodied abstraction than real men and women, faces--many of them kids' faces--that [he] looked into on his visits to troops."  Even on January 16, 1991, as H-Hour approached, the chairman was "worrying about the Marines.  They would have the hard job, driving into the front-line fortifications.  God, Powell thought, we could lose a lot of Marines."

Early on, he is shown suggesting that a line be drawn around Saudi Arabia, only to be reminded by, of all people, a professional diplomat--U.N. Ambassador Thomas Pickering--that this solution would seal the captivity of Kuwait.  Woodward's narrative settles down to Cheney demanding military options from the Joint Chiefs, and Powell pushing a "containment" policy of sanctions instead of bombs and bullets.

Powell is described as having been taken by surprise when the president set a "new goal" early in the crisis of not merely defending Saudi Arabia but also liberating Kuwait.  Woodward writes that "Powell, the number-one military man, had been given no opportunity to offer his assessment.  This angry statement was much more than Powell had expected from Bush.  Powell marveled at the distance Bush had traveled in three days.  To Powell, it was almost as if the President had six-shooters in both hands and he was blazing away."

While Cheney was pressing for options, Powell was brooding, "alarmed about all the troops and military force he was beginning to pour into the Gulf, without any clear notion of where the buildup would end....It seemed to Powell that the military was rolling down a highway, uncertain which off-ramp it was supposed to take."

As late as October, Powell "reminded Cheney that he had not participated in a full policy review or a discussion of the options or their merits."  It was at this point that the JCS chairman began to press for containment and strangulation, pointing out the advantages of economic sanctions." But in making his case to Scowcroft, Powell "did not come out and say, in so many words, this is my position."

At that point, on "one Friday afternoon in October," Cheney invited Powell to come over to the White House and make his case to Bush.  Woodward's description in the book's prologue of that meeting, with Cheney and Scowcroft sitting in, has not been contradicted.  Powell told the president that the containment/strangulation/sanctions option "has merit" and "will work some day" though it might take as much as two years.  But he "did not go so far as to say to the President that containment was his personal recommendation," as indeed it was, instead saying he could "live with" either that or the military option.

The account of how the military option was finally picked is engrossing reading but leaves so many unanswered questions that it is hardly a jewel in the crown of a fabled reporter.  The basic decision after the November mid-term election to reinforce and not rotate troops, all but locking in the decision to go to war, is skipped over hastily. 

Woodward's basic problem here is trying to write Hamlet without the Prince.  He seems to have no access at all to the thoughts and decisions of the commander-in-chief, George Bush.  What Margaret Thatcher said to Bush in Aspen that August may have shaped the course of history a great deal more than the back-and-forth between Cheney and Powell, but we learn nothing about it here.

Actually, by his own account, Woodward's initial plan for The Commanders was "to focus on the military and civilian leadership of the Pentagon."  That would have done for the Pentagon what Woodward's The Brethren did for the Supreme Court.  But the Panama intervention and Gulf war intervened, the impact of the latter presumably magnified by the haste of Simon and Schuster in getting to the book stalls before war fever had disappeared.

Accordingly, efforts to report and describe the exotic culture of the Pentagon are not pursued.  In early pages, Woodward drops fascinating tidbits about cultural differences between the services, but Panama and the Gulf intervene too quickly for him to pursue military anthropology for long.   Sadly, not much is learned about how the nation's military establishment functions.  One Pentagon official (who, incidentally, cooperated with Woodward) describes The Commanders as a flashlight in a darkened room which by chance illuminates one small sector or another but tells little about the entire area.

Still, without himself analyzing it or even pointing it out, Woodward and his flashlight have illuminated hard feelings between civilians and military at the Pentagon.  Today's highly professional generals and admirals may accept civilian control, but they surely don't like it.  They deeply resented Cheney's demonstration of authority in his first days on the job in 1989 when he publicly reprimanded General Larry Welch, Air Force chief-of-staff, for marketing his own ICBM proposal on Capitol Hill.

Woodward notes that Welch, a veteran of 137 Vietnam combat operations, told a subordinate Air Force general: "I've been shot at by professionals and I'm still here.  So being shot at by an amateur is not likely to cause any pain."  The "amateur" reference would seem to bracket Cheney's inexperience at his new job with his deferment from the draft during Vietnam.  Admiral Crowe is described as unhappy about Cheney's abrupt dismissal of General Frederick Woerner from the Panama command in order to bring in a more hawkish replacement: "Most chilling to Crowe was the indifference that the Secretary of Defense seemed to have about the career of a four-star officer."  The book itself has exacerbated troubles between the military and civilians.  With good reason, the civilians feel they came out second best in the account and particularly feel short-changed in Woodward's description of the Panamanian intervention.

But additional scar tissue for old wounds is hardly the most controversial byproduct of The Commanders.  Not the least of Bob Woodward's repertorial skills is his ability to get the most recalcitrant of people to talk to him--at length, candidly and often not prudently.  The substantial time Cheney and Powell (neither of whom is known for loquacity in dealing with the news media) obviously spent with Woodward and their apparent extraordinary candor has astonished Washington's political and military circles.

Cheney is perhaps the only major figure in The Commanders who has publicly admitted the obvious: he talked to Woodward and talked to him for hours.  He is also one of the book's few protagonists to deny publicly something written about him: sentiments attributed to Cheney that President Bush is "vindictive" (though that description was no revelation for the political community).

Unlike Cheney, Powell has never admitted saying a word to Woodward.  When after a speech given to a post-Gulf War reunion of Ford administration officials Powell was asked about his cooperation for the book, the general declined to answer.  But everybody knows he found lots of time for Woodward during the crisis, and his brothers in the military profession--serving and retired officers alike--are shocked and angered.  They are stunned by the fact that he fully laid out to Bob Woodward the case for not going to war in the Gulf as he never did to George Bush.  When the nation's top general is quoted as believing that "a prolonged war on television could become impossible, unsupportable at home," Democratic critics of Bush's war policy are legitimized.  Such is Powell's prestige that it is no exaggeration to say that his views as reported in The Commanders have seriously undercut Republican plans to target Democratic members of Congress who voted against the war resolution.  Now they can cite Colin Powell for support.

That is not the only service to Democrats performed by the general.  He is seen expressing concern about the Bush presidential campaign's Willie Horton "racist" commercials.  Three references in the book to Oliver North all mention Powell's distaste for the Reagan aide who became a hero for the Republican Right and a bogeyman for the Democratic Left.  The first such reference also points up the political gap between him and the secretary of defense: "Cheney's uncritical support for Lt. Col.  Oliver North had bothered Powell."

One quote attributed to the chairman could have been constructed at the Democratic National Committee.  After Bush had asked Mikhail Gorbachev in their brief post-election meeting in 1988 at Governor's Island, N.Y., what assurance about the future he could give American businessman wanting to invest in the Soviet Union, Woodward writes, "Powell [present as President Reagan's national security adviser] thought Bush's question was curious, and in a way naive.  It was as if Bush was asking Gorbachev's assurance that the Soviet Union was safe for American capitalism, or the businesses of large Republican campaign contributors."

A Bush Cabinet member told me he would not dare talk to Woodward because he is so dependent on the president's good favor and fears losing it.  Cheney and Powell, he said, are playing on a different, higher level.  They are major figures in their own right, not dependent on presidential patronage and, in fact, harboring presidential ambitions of their own.  Since The Commanders projects only a blurred picture of how the United States decided on war in the Gulf and only the vaguest picture of how the Pentagon functions, its lasting value may be what it does to the image and political futures of Cheney and Powell.

Some of his closest former Republican colleagues in the House have privately expressed surprise and dismay about Cheney's collaboration with the despised Woodward.  The secretary's associates in the Pentagon explain that he was merely defending himself against what they knew to be Powell's extensive collaboration with Woodward.  The defense may have been less than effective, for Cheney comes across as a less sympathetic figure--less open, more conniving--than Powell.  But for Republican palates, his qualities as portrayed by Woodward are pleasing: tough, self-possessed, disciplined, taciturn, decisive, not a man to cross.

Powell poses a more complicated proposition.  Republican politicians have been saying that his comments as recorded by Woodward are so unacceptable that he has ruled himself out for any kind of future in the party (though obviously not for the second term as JCS chairman that Bush gave him after the war and after the book was published).  But burning Republican bridges could not be accidental and must be presumed to be what Powell had in mind in the first place.  Having spent most of his military career not in barracks but in the halls of Washington, he knows the meaning and impact of words.

Consequently, there is strong opinion at the Pentagon that what Powell told Woodward was his long-range declaration of intent for a political career in the Democratic Party, and could have no other possible meaning.  Powell is reported sensing "a kinship" with General Dwight D. Eisenhower for having "pursued a policy of containment instead of war.  So, Powell "aspired to be like him."

Eisenhower served two Democratic presidents, was the choice of the party's left-wing to supplant Harry Truman in 1948, and then unveiled himself as a Republican candidate in 1952.  Powell has served two Republican presidents, was eagerly sought (before this book) by the party's political leaders as a candidate of the future, and now is dreamed about by Democrats as the first black president: a war-winning general who loves peace and sounds like a liberal.  What he said to Woodward can be taken as the embryo for his political credo.

Robert D. Novak is a syndicated columnist, a television commentator, and publisher of the Evans and Novak Political Report.

Essay Types: Book Review