Counterterrorism in 2011: The Year of Abbottabad

The millennium began with a hijacking of an Indian airliner to Kandahar, Afghanistan. The plot, involving the Pakistani terror group Harakat-ul-Mujahedin, al-Qaeda, the Afghan Taliban and Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate (ISI), was a harbinger of a decade of terror whose epicenter was Pakistan—and this year the trail to high-value target number one, Osama bin Laden, finally ended there.

On a clear night in early May 2011, American Navy commandos found and killed Bin Laden in his hideout in the Pakistani city of Abbottabad. After searching since 1998, the Central Intelligence Agency had finally found the most wanted man in human history. Thorough and careful intelligence analysis had tracked him down to a house in the garrison city that also houses Pakistan’s premier military academy. Abbottabad is just thirty miles north of the country’s capital, Islamabad, and the nearby military-general headquarters in Rawalpindi. It is located on the famous Karakoram Highway, which follows the ancient Silk Road from South Asia over the Himalayas and Hindu Kush to China. In American terms, it was as if Bin Laden were hiding just outside the gate of the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis, Maryland, an hour’s drive from the White House and the Pentagon.

Abbottabad is named after a British army officer and colonial administrator, Sir James Abbott, who founded the city as a cantonment for the British army in India in January 1853. Abbott fought in the British East India Company’s wars against the Sikhs in the middle of the nineteenth century and was very fond of the city he founded.

The CIA traced Bin Laden there by following the trail of a Pakistani acting as his courier, Abu Ahmed al-Kuwaiti. Al-Kuwaiti had worked with Bin Laden in the planning of the 9/11 attacks and was his trusted emissary for carrying messages to the outside world. A Pakistani Pashtun tribesman who was born and raised in Kuwait and spoke fluent Arabic and Pashto, Al-Kuwaiti could move between two cultures easily. In 2010, the intelligence community traced him to Abbottabad and a three-story housing compound that seemed different from most other homes in the city. It was surrounded by an eighteen-foot-high wall topped with barbed wire, had no electronic signatures (phone or Internet), and seemed custom-built to hide someone. Privacy screens and interior walls obstructed vision into the compound from the outside. The children inside were home schooled, and the residents burned all of their garbage.

Bin Laden had apparently moved into the house sometime in 2006, the facility having been customized for him in 2005. He was a recluse inside but not isolated from the world. Al-Kuwaiti brought him messages and letters from the outside, and Bin Laden dispatched his letters via his courier. After his death, the SEAL commandos scooped up scores of documents and computer files. In those were found correspondence from Bin Laden to his wives, children, and subordinates such as Ayman al-Zawahiri and others. He was very much in charge of his global terrorist empire and kept abreast of plots like the July 2005 London bombing. He was constantly pressing his lieutenants for more terror.

Al-Qaeda practiced good tradecraft in concealing its leader’s hideout for five years. But he could not hide in Abbottabad without some support network beyond al-Kuwaiti. Phone numbers found in the house by the SEAL team suggest that al-Kuwaiti was in touch with a Pakistani terrorist group. As reported by the New York Times in June 2011, al-Kuwaiti was apparently in contact with the Harakat-ul-Mujahedeen terror group, the same group he had collaborated with a decade before in the millennium plot. It was created in the 1980s by ISI to fight India and has loyally worked with the Pakistani intelligence service for decades. Its leader is Fazlur Rehman Khalil, who lives openly in an Islamabad suburb.

The most important mystery, of course, is what the Pakistani army and the ISI knew about Bin Laden’s hideout. From the day the CIA became focused on Abbottabad, President Barack Obama decided that he could not trust the Pakistanis with information about the hideout. No Pakistani official was given any advance warning that the United States suspected Bin Laden was hiding in the Abbottabad complex or that Washington intended to send commandos to either capture or kill him. During months of surveillance of the compound and preparation for the SEAL operation, Pakistan was kept completely in the dark by Obama and his national-security team.

It was an extraordinary decision. Since 2001, Pakistani leaders from General and later President Pervez Musharraf to today’s President Ali Asif Zardari and the chief of army staff General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, the real power in the country, had repeatedly promised to help America fight al-Qaeda. Now the American president correctly judged he could not trust them with vital information on the location of al-Qaeda’s top leader. Obama’s decision spoke volumes about America’s real attitude toward its Pakistani partner.

Abbottabad is not an ordinary city. Pakistan’s first military dictator, Field Marshall Ayub Khan, was born very close by. It is the home of the Kakul Military Academy, the Pakistani equivalent of West Point or Sandhurst. Some generals retire to its pleasant weather and surroundings. In short, from its founding during the Raj to today, it is a military city.

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Comments

khan (January 1, 2012 - 10:26am)

Bruce Riedel keeps up his reputation to malign Pakistan on one pretext or the other. Misses no opportunity to castigate Pakistan; showing his vindictive and biased view of the country, termed as Major Non NATO Ally of US after 9/11. Sorry to say but the fact is that US is finding it so hard to successfully resolve the Afghanistan imbroglio because of the erroneous analysis and faulty strategic advice of intellectuals like Bruce Riedel. See what is the outcome of his proudly conceived "Afpak Strategy"!!
Whereas he has tried to hold Pakistan responsible for every evil in the world during the last decade, he fails to mention the services rendered by Pakistan in GWOT in support of US and the west. The fact is that US policies, post Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan, were largely responsible for leaving behind an unstable Afghanistan, which gradually became haven for the AQ and other terrorists. Even the despotic Taliban regime was initially informally okayed by US. Yes, the things changed after the tragic event of 9/11; a terrorist incident in which no Pakistani was involved.
Mr. Bruce Riedel also shows his utter disgratitude to Pakistan for the top AQ leaders arrested by ISI and handed over to US. He also fails to mention that Pakistan got into deep troubles (growing trends of extremism, fractured society and initiation of a war on domestic front for assisting US in Afghanistan; the war which continues even today and has resulted into over 35,000 civilians and security personnel dead and thousands injured).
Truly, the support of US war by Pakistan has played havoc with Pakistan's economy, internal security and cohesion. Ironically, imagine what has Pakistan got in return. About 20 billion dollars in ten years ( an amount qualifying to be called "peanuts" by any standards; which is sounded to Pakistan by US sarcasticly every second day); disregarding the services provided to the US - led coalition during this period, getting Pakistani roads destroyed by thousands of heavy logistic vehicles lying over these.
With reference to alleged complicity or incompetence of Pakistani security services in OBL hiding in Abbottabad, may We ask him why did US intelligence agencies ( undoubtedly, the best in the world in all aspects) fail in detecting and preventing an unparalleled terrorist event in human history - 9/11? Please give your judgment in this case as well. Was it complicity or incompetence?

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May 24, 2012