Hillary Clinton Glosses Over Her Seriously Flawed Foreign Policy Plans

June 9, 2016 Topic: Politics Region: Americas Blog Brand: The Skeptics Tags: Election 2016Donald TrumpHillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton Glosses Over Her Seriously Flawed Foreign Policy Plans

She's consistently underestimated the difficulty of international action.

Last Thursday, the presumptive Democratic nominee for president Hillary Clinton held what was billed as a major national security speech in San Diego. It wasn’t. It was an opportunity for her campaign to get millions of dollars in free advertising with the nationally televised speech, blasting the character of presumptive Republican candidate Donald J. Trump. Later that day, Trump fired back with a mocking, derogatory counterattack of his own. The clear loser in the duel?  The American people. Beneath the petty, decidedly ungentlemanly exchange of personal slights, the foreign policy offered by both candidates should serve as a warning flag for all voters.

The majority of Clinton’s speech was standard campaign fare. She ridiculed many of Trump’s statements over the years, taking a number of things knowingly out of context to make him sound even worse, and then of course claimed many foreign policy successes for herself. The speech offered nothing new in terms of her position on foreign policy matters, but wasn’t really meant to. The primary purpose of the event was to make people believe Trump is wholly unfit to become president. She did score some points on that front.

Clinton pointed to several examples of what Trump said he would do if elected President. Among them, that Trump has said he would use torture against terror suspects and kill family members who are related to accused terrorists, “even though those are war crimes.”  She also accused him of saying he would let the Islamic State “run wild” in Syria and use nuclear weapons against ISIS. She would “leave it to the psychiatrists,” she said, to explain why Trump allegedly likes tyrants.

But her more emphatic point was that electing Trump to become commander in chief “would be a historic mistake” because he wasn’t qualified. In contrast, Clinton said, she’s had “experience with the tough calls and the hard work of statecraft” and listed what she claimed were her biggest accomplishments.

Among them were that she had “wrestled with the Chinese” on major issues, advised the president in the White House situation room at important times, and that she had worked “side-by-side with admirals and generals” during wartime. There were, however, a few noteworthy events missing from her 4,149-word speech related to her experience. Two in particular jump out.

First, Russia invaded Georgia in August of 2008, to the consternation of many NATO members. Two months after the Obama Administration took office, Secretary of State Clinton was charged with trying to “reset” relations with Russia. It was at a meeting in Geneva that the now-infamous photo of Clinton and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov pushing the red “reset” button (which had been improperly labeled by the White House with the Russian word for “overcharged”) was taken.

During the meeting with Lavrov, Clinton indicated the new Administration was willing to be “flexible” with Russia on the missile defense interceptors that had been planned by the Bush Administration. “Six months after the Geneva meeting,” the American Thinker reported, “the U.S. cancelled deployment of the systems, leaving Poland and the Czech Republic bereft of the economic and security benefits of the installations but still saddled with Russian anger.”

A scathing editorial in the Wall Street Journal later that year argued that this time the diplomatic deal with Russia was “the concession was missile defense. Next time, perhaps, the West can be seduced into trading away the pro-Western government of Georgia, or even Ukraine.”  That diplomatic achievement didn’t work out so well for the U.S.

The second issue involves the Secretary’s judgment regarding Libya. No, not the politically-charged Benghazi matter, but of the decision to attack Libya with airpower in 2011, bringing down the Qaddafi regime. The results of that disastrous mission continues to haunt North Africa today, with an on-going civil war, two governments each claiming to represent the country, and in recent months, the arrival of a new branch of ISIS.

Yet in a 2011 Washington Post interview entitled “Clinton: Libya Showed U.S. Leadership to be Essential”, Secretary Clinton said of the results of the operation, “I do think we set into motion a policy that was on the right side of history, on the right side of our values, on the right side of our strategic interests in the region. And it turned out to have brought about the result that we thought it would in a relatively short period of time.”  Clinton’s belief that her preferred outcome had been secured with the use of force was not new. She’s advocated for the use of the military to solve problems for decades.

In the 2007 New Republic article “Hillary’s War,” Michael Crowley explained how then-First Lady Clinton had been instrumental in President Bill Clinton’s decision to attack Serbia in 1999. He wrote “As she later explained to Talk magazine, while on a trip in North Africa she phoned her husband in Washington and pleaded with him to unleash the military. ‘I urged him to bomb,’ she said.”  But, Crowley continued, it was “the third time Hillary had spoken up in favor of intervention. The first had been in 1994 in Haiti, according to one former Clintonite. The other had been the 1995 campaign of airstrikes to bring an end to the Bosnian conflict.” One year later after President-elect Obama had designated Clinton to become America’s top diplomat, John MacArthur writing in Harper’s Magazine explained some of Clinton’s early motivation for the use of force.

In reference to Hillary’s urging the President to attack Serbia in 1999, MacArthur wrote, “…but it gives us an insight into the shoot-first temperament of the future secretary of state. According to former Clinton adviser Dick Morris, “Hillary has a Manichean view of issues, splitting the political world into dueling forces of good and evil . . . . .She sees herself as idealistic, moral, and righteous, and can only conclude that those with opposing views must have opposite motives.”  As a U.S. Senator Clinton continued her advocacy of the expanded use of military power. During her 2000 campaign, the New York Times reported Clinton argued “the United States should do more than just intervene in 'splendid little wars' in which it can prevail, Mrs. Clinton staked out a robust foreign policy approach.”

All these examples combine to make clear that Clinton’s promise in Thursday’s speech to use force only when necessary is not supported by her decades of consistent positions on use of force as the primary means of solving problems. This long history of militant foreign policy views is all the more troubling when combined with her positions on recent international actions.

The situation in Libya when the Secretary was advocating for bombing made it very clear that the likely result of Qaddafi being deposed would be chaos and more violence. Yet Clinton held to the belief that the intervention would yield preferred results no matter that logical analysis indicated otherwise. Her willingness to side with the KLA in Bosnia, despite the substantial evidence known at the time of the atrocities they had committed, and willingness to bomb the Serbs because of their atrocities, exposes how Clinton primarily sees the world in black and white, good and evil camps, and has limited ability to deal with complex, gray situations where all parties might have both good and bad sides.

The bottom line is that Hillary Clinton’s foreign policy record since the 1990s has consistently exposed a leader that grossly underestimates the difficulty of international action. She has shown her judgment at critical times has been suspect. As a result she has advocated policy or taken action that frequently has resulted in outcomes antithetical to American interests. Perhaps one of the reasons she reaches poor conclusions is that she has an unrealistic expectation in what military power can accomplish.

During the speech, the former secretary boasted that she has “worked side-by-side with admirals and generals, and visited our troops in theaters of war.”  What she may not realize, is that when politicians visit combat zones they are almost always given VIP treatment and shown briefings and battle plans that look very impressive, but in my experience has been little more than a show produced by senior military leaders designed to make the visitor believe what the generals and admirals want them to.

Similarly, visiting troops at the front as a VIP does not provide an accurate impression of conditions. Senior military leaders will never allow the visitors to go where there is any danger, and most often will carefully select which troops the VIP is allowed to observe. Evidence suggests that when Clinton, as the former First Lady, Senator, and Secretary of State, talked with flag officers and troops in combat zones, she did not possess the independent ability to glean the truth from the fiction.

The natural inclination she’s demonstrated since the 1990s to towards a militaristic foreign policy will almost certainly be carried into the White House. That inclination combined with an inability to accurately and independently assess whether a general’s advice is militarily sound or not, the likelihood of U.S. engagement with the world remaining a military-first proposition is high.