Turkey Has Turned Itself Into a Terrorist Target

October 9, 2017 Topic: Security Region: Middle East Tags: KurdsKurdistanTurkeyErdoganIndependance

Turkey Has Turned Itself Into a Terrorist Target

The terrorist threat is bound to remain significant, and various factors will likely impact the Turkish security situation.

Therefore, the most likely scenario involves a stronger and more stable security situation in most of Turkey. In contrast, a minor conflict could crystallize in the southeast of the country with no prospects for reconciliation. This could lead to moderate economic recovery in the coming years (thanks to a greater inflow of tourists and foreign investment) and allow Erdoğan to win the next presidential election and remain in power for several more years.

Daniele Grassi is senior Analyst at IFI Advisory, a consulting firm specializing in corporate security management.

Image: Supporters of Turkey's President Tayyip Erdogan wave Turkey's national flags as they wait for his speech during a rally against terrorism in Strasbourg, France, October 4, 2015. Some 30000 supporters coming from several countries including France, Germany, and Switzerland gathered in Strasbourg on Sunday to listen to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's address. REUTERS/Vincent Kessler

RECOMMENDED: 

What a What a War Between America and China Would Look Like

What a War Between China and Japan Would Look Like