WE MAY be facing one of the most important foreign-policy elections in recent history. America is not only at war in Iraq and Afghanistan, but threatened by short-, medium- and long-term challenges ranging from terrorist attacks to energy security, Iranian nuclear weapons, Russia's resurgence and China's rise.
On top of this is the frightening prospect that, as the war between Russia and Georgia recently demonstrated, it may take only one event to meld all of these problems into an immediate and devastating perfect storm. Just imagine a U.S. or Israeli strike on Iran. The potential consequences: Iranian retaliation against U.S. forces and American allies in the region, a new global Islamist terror backlash against the United States, skyrocketing energy prices, a collapse of the dollar that accelerates as China shifts its reserves to more stable currencies and an angry Moscow deciding that it is the right time to teach Georgia another lesson by force.
Whether or not foreign policy affects how you vote (and you'd be one of the few if it does), it will matter, from the day-to-day to the big picture. Past policies-of presidents in both parties-have already had an impact on the average American. Our preoccupations with the Balkans distracted us from the terrorist threat pre-9/11. Failing to develop a sound energy policy abroad as well as at home has contributed to high oil prices and an enduring military presence in the Middle East. Combined with what appears to many Muslims to be blind support for Israel, the presence of U.S. forces in the region has angered extremists and contributed to terrorism. And the budgets needed for global military dominance-and a five-year-old war-drain resources from the rest of the U.S. economy.
