Where the unthinkable could happen.
A big investment for limited, uncertain gains.
"Serbia’s current balancing act in foreign policy: forging a closer relationship with the European Union on the one hand, while maintaining strong ties with its historic ally Russia on the other."
Oil prices could be the deciding factor.
"The current challenge for U.S. policymakers is to deploy the tactics of international isolation and economic pressure without sacrificing long-term business interests..."
Boom on the battlefield.
"Russia is too big to isolate completely...and partial isolation is likely to have unintended consequences that contradict U.S. and European intent in imposing sanctions."
If the city of Kobani falls, it will be both a human tragedy and a strategic setback—and a key part of a long-term solution to the Syrian conflict is likely to die with the city.
Should the cease-fire be allowed to break down completely, the danger of a war in Ukraine will immediately reappear. Both sides must take urgent steps to avoid it.
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